Transformative AI Research Economist, Economic Research

Anthropic Anthropic · AI Frontier · San Francisco, CA · Public Policy

This role focuses on building macroeconomic models of transformative AI and developing scenario-based forecasting tools. It grounds projections in microeconomic data from the Anthropic Economic Index, analyzing millions of real-world AI interactions to understand AI's impact on labor markets, productivity, and economic transformation. The role also involves contributing to AI-powered research tools for economics.

What you'd actually do

  1. Build macroeconomic models of transformative AI spanning growth, labor markets, and income distribution
  2. Develop and maintain scenario-based forecasting tools; publish forecasts for GDP, productivity, and unemployment under a range of AI-capability trajectories
  3. Ground macroeconomic projections in microeconomic data from the Anthropic Economic Index, constraining theory with observed patterns of adoption and task transformation
  4. Analyze questions of income distribution and economic governance under transformative-AI scenarios
  5. Contribute to the development of AI-powered research tools for economics

Skills

Required

  • PhD in Economics, or an exceptional candidate close to completion
  • Background in macroeconomics, growth theory, or public finance ideally with exposure to task-based frameworks and labor economics
  • A research record that engages seriously with the possibility of transformative AI
  • Macroeconomic modeling and structural estimation
  • Scenario-based and time-series forecasting
  • Task-based approaches to technological change
  • Computational methods, agent-based modeling, or large-scale simulation
  • Income distribution and inequality
  • Using large language models in the research workflow
  • Proficiency in Python, Julia, or similar for computational economics
  • Facility with AI coding agents as part of a research workflow
  • Comfort learning new technical tools and frameworks
  • Lead research projects from conception to publication
  • Ship on tight timelines and revise in public as new data arrives
  • Communicate technical findings to diverse audiences
  • Strong interest in ensuring AI development benefits humanity

Nice to have

  • exceptional candidate close to completion

What the JD emphasized

  • transformative AI
  • scenario-based forecasting tools
  • macroeconomic models
  • AI-powered research tools

Other signals

  • macroeconomic models of AI
  • scenario-based forecasting tools
  • ground projections in microeconomic signals
  • AI-powered tools for economics